Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 2356.120622 2548.272780 2741.483522 2950.011414 3168.399951 3390.051564 3631.713155
2025-11-30 2069.150515 2360.449684 2662.912510 2999.198453 3361.437019 3738.749798 4160.329906
2025-12-07 1859.857482 2210.677334 2583.915640 3008.055523 3474.208311 3968.608393 4530.290614
2025-12-14 1683.089289 2074.713828 2500.318847 2993.061186 3543.774642 4136.552895 4819.077077
2025-12-21 1514.797978 1933.296175 2397.318200 2943.851979 3564.033405 4240.421345 5028.408485
2025-12-28 1467.762388 1924.261327 2438.236554 3051.467167 3755.183721 4530.064374 5440.453206
2026-01-04 1392.133896 1875.593069 2428.383762 3096.407000 3871.450088 4732.801726 5752.991147
2026-01-11 1304.739509 1807.121242 2390.507669 3104.458373 3941.683479 4880.474380 6000.990683
2026-01-18 1225.530823 1743.683752 2354.424631 3110.855733 4006.817816 5019.806778 6237.477883
2026-01-25 1155.422127 1687.373076 2323.425696 3120.188108 4072.796589 5158.104047 6471.220439
2026-02-01 1075.118712 1614.055828 2268.217583 3097.321623 4098.119707 5247.188532 6646.554110
2026-02-08 1016.970405 1565.878333 2241.292693 3106.355662 4159.429576 5376.751356 6867.681460
2026-02-15 942.921184 1494.834463 2184.607458 3078.549151 4177.071584 5456.469534 7033.202660
2026-02-22 909.273856 1475.465309 2191.858000 3128.890729 4288.767849 5647.386678 7329.689991
2026-03-01 860.185388 1432.827484 2167.397778 3137.990972 4348.961951 5776.243959 7552.572839
2026-03-08 804.283490 1378.092066 2125.039427 3122.585798 4377.511528 5866.113177 7728.463929
2026-03-15 738.092539 1305.750642 2056.931988 3072.023003 4360.580926 5899.711259 7836.114727
2026-03-22 739.288314 1328.507637 2114.469778 3182.587889 4544.288845 6176.127759 8234.598170
2026-03-29 716.045075 1314.935990 2122.616858 3228.748282 4647.127147 6354.413171 8515.701374
2026-04-05 680.188542 1281.310282 2102.435998 3237.017647 4701.569613 6473.301229 8725.175638
2026-04-12 645.860237 1248.285393 2081.775358 3243.588071 4753.067274 6588.080194 8929.442718
2026-04-19 614.564993 1218.303406 2064.124512 3253.172675 4807.696335 6706.277076 9137.672106
2026-04-26 574.028967 1172.253021 2022.599562 3229.687680 4819.005696 6770.293161 9279.523179